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Field and Research Interests

    Comparative Politics | Political Institutions | Political Economy | Coalition Governments | Executive-Legislative Relations | Political and Economic Inequalities | Latin American Politics | Quantitative Methodologies.

Books

    "Learning to Govern Together in Representative Democracy: The Dynamics of Cooperation and Competition in Coalition Governance." Forthcoming. With Thomas König and Xiao Lu. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    "Voters' Perceptions of Party Brands." Forthcoming. With David Fortunato and Laron Williams. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Publications in Peer-Reviewed Journals

    "Coalition as a Heuristic: Voters' Perceptions of Party Positions in Presidential Multiparty Systems." 2025. With Andrea Junqueira and Guy Whitten. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion & Parties.

    "When Do Different Systems of Government Lead to Similar Power-Sharing? The Case of Government Formation." 2023. Political Science Research and Methods 11: 938-946. [Replication Files]

    "Policy Monitoring and Ministerial Survival: Evidence from a Multiparty Presidentialism." 2023. With Alejandro Medina. Legislative Studies Quarterly 48(1): 71-103. [Replication Files]

    "Government Dominance and the Role of Opposition in Parliamentary Democracies." 2023. With Thomas König and Nick Lin. European Journal of Political Research 62(2): 594–611. [Replication Files]

    "What About Us? Political Competition, Economic Performance, Immigration, and Nativist Appeals." 2023. With Andrea Junqueira and Guy Whitten. Social Science Quarterly 104(1): 11-24.

    "Agenda Control and Timing of Bill Initiation: A Temporal Perspective on Coalition Governance in Parliamentary Democracies." 2022. With Thomas König, Nick Lin, Xiao Lu, Nikoleta Yordanova and Galina Zudenkova. American Political Science Review 116(1): 231-248. [Replication Files]

    "Fiscal Capacity and Inequality: Evidence from Brazilian Municipalities." 2019. With Florian Hollenbach. The Journal of Politics 81(4): 1434-1445. [Replication Files]

    "Leading Toward Equality: The Effect of Women Mayors on Gender Equality in Local Bureaucracies." 2019. With Kendall D. Funk and Maria C. Escobar-Lemmon. Politics, Groups, and Identities 7(3): 554-573. [Replication Files]

    "Measuring Presidential Dominance over Cabinets in Presidential Systems: Constitutional Design and Power Sharing." 2016. With Victor Araújo and Marcelo Vieira. Brazilian Political Science Review 10(2). [Replication Files]

    "Elections in Brazil Before Democracy: The Electoral Code of 1932, and the Electoral Processes of 1933 and 1934." [Original in Portuguese: Eleições no Brasil Antes da Democracia: O Código Eleitoral de 1932 e os Pleitos de 1933 e 1934.] 2015. With Estevão Silva. Revista de Sociologia e Política 23(56):75-106. [Replication Files]

Book Chapters

    "Coalitions in Presidential and Semi-Presidential Systems." Forthcoming. With José Cheibub. In.: The Edward Elgar Handbook on Coalition Politics, eds. Thomas Bräuninger and Marc Debus. London: Edward Elgar, Chapter 12.

    "Governments." Forthcoming. With Keith Dowding. In.: Comparative Politics: Models of Democracy, eds. Sergiu Gherghina , Jean-Benoit Pilet, and Jane Suiter. Chapter 5.

    "From Ballots to Cabinets: Analyzing the Continuity Between Pre- and Post-Electoral Coalitions in Multiparty Presidential Democracies." 2024. With Adrián Albala and André Borges. In.: New Developments in Coalition Cabinet Research, eds. Patrick Dumont, Bernie Grofman, Torbjörn Bergman and Tom Louwerse. Chapter 10.

    "Clarity of Responsibility and Vote Choice." 2017. With Guy Whitten. In.: The SAGE Handbook of Electoral Behaviour, eds. Kai Arzheimer, Jocelyn Evans, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck. Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications, Chapter 5.

Research in Progress

    "Missingness and Inferential Errors in the Study of Voters' Perceptions of Parties' Positions." With David Fortunato, Laron Williams and Rylie Wieseler.

    "Perceptions of Fairness and Territorial Redistribution in the Australian Federal System." With Tracy Fenwick.

    "The Fragility of Presidentialism: A Reconsideration." With Alejandro Medina and William R. Clark.

    "The Influence of Ministers on Democratic Policymaking Processes."

    "Are All Coalition Parties Treated the Same? The Costs of Being a Coalition Member in Presidential and Parliamentary Systems." With Andrea Junqueira and Guy Whitten.

    "The Role of Prime-Ministers on Government Survival." With Thomas König, Katsunori Seki and Galina Zudenkova.

    "Strongholds or Islands? Spatial Opportunism and Intergovernmental Transfers." With Andrew Philips and Brett Bessen.

Recent Conference Presentations (* including scheduled)

    "Coalition as a Heuristic: Voters' Perceptions of Party Positions in Presidential Multiparty Systems." July, 2025. With Andrea Junqueira and Guy Whitten. Paper to be presented at the 28th International Political Science Association (IPSA) World Congress, Seoul, South Korea.*
    ↳[Paper also presented at the Australian Political Studies Association (AusPSA) Conference, Perth, Australia (November, 2024), and at the 81st Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA (April, 2024).]

    "Perceptions of Fairness and Territorial Redistribution in the Australian Federal System." July, 2025. With Tracy Fenwick. Paper to be presented at the 28th IPSA World Congress, Seoul, South Korea.*

    "Missingness and Inferential Errors in the Study of Voters' Perceptions of Parties' Positions." June 2025. With David Fortunato, Rylie Wieseler and Laron Williams. Paper to be presented at the European Political Science Association (EPSA) Conference, Madrid, Spain.*
    ↳[Paper also presented at the joint conference AsianPolmeth XII and the Australian Society for Quantitative Political Science (ASQPS) XII, Wellington, New Zealand (January, 2025), and at the 81st Conference of the MPSA, Chicago, IL, USA (April, 2024).]

    "Explaining Australians' Ambiguity Toward Federalism." September, 2024. With Tracy Fenwick. Paper to be presented at the International Association of Centers for Federal Studies (IACFS), Antwerp, Belgium.

    "Voters' Perceptions of Party Positions: Empirical Strategies." December, 2023. With David Fortunato and Laron Williams. Paper presented at the 11th Annual Conference of the Australian Society for Quantitative Political Science (ASQPS). Brisbane, Australia.

    "The Fragility of Presidentialism: A Reconsideration." July, 2023. With Alejandro Medina and William Clark. Paper presented at the 27th International Political Science Association (IPSA) World Congress. Buenos Aires, Argentina.

    "The Role of Prime-Ministers on Government Survival." April, 2022. With Thomas König, Katsunori Seki, and Galina Zudenkova. Paper presented at the 79th Annual Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association (MPSA), Chicago, IL, USA.

    "Policy Monitoring and Ministerial Survival: Evidence from a Multiparty Presidentialism." September, 2021. With Alejandro Medina. Paper to be presented at the 117th American Political Science Association's (APSA) Annual Meeting, Seattle, Washington, USA. [Canceled due to COVID-19 pandemic.]

    "Cooperation and Competition: Coalition Governance and Timing of Bill Initiation." June, 2021. With Thomas König, Nick Lin, Xiao Lu, Nikoleta Yordanova and Galina Zudenkova. Paper to be presented at the 11th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association (EPSA). Virtual Conference.

    "Policy Monitoring in Presidential Coalition Governments." June, 2020. With Victor Araújo. Paper to be presented at the Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association (EPSA), Prague, Czech Republic. [Canceled due to COVID-19 pandemic.]
    ↳[Earlier versions of this paper presented at the Annual Conference of the EPSA, Belfast, Northern Ireland (June, 2019), and at the 90th Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association (SPSA), Austin, TX, USA (January, 2019).]

    "Are All Coalition Parties Treated the Same? The Costs of Being a Coalition Member in Presidential and Parliamentary Systems." April, 2020. With Andrea Junqueira and Guy Whitten. Paper to be presented at the 78th Annual Conference of the Midwest Political Science Association (MPSA), Chicago, IL, USA. [Canceled due to COVID-19 pandemic.]
    ↳[Earlier versions of this paper presented at the 115th American Political Science Association (APSA) Annual Meeting, Washington, DC, USA (August, 2019), and at the Annual Conference of the EPSA, Belfast, Northern Ireland (June, 2019).]

    "Executive-Legislative Interdependence: The Allocation of Portfolios to Presidential Parties." September, 2019. Paper presented at the European Consortium for Political Research (ECPR) General Conference, Wrocław, Poland.

    "The Impact of (Failed) Gender Quotas on Legislative Behavior Over Time." June, 2019. With Iñaki Sagarzazu. Paper presented at the Quantitative Text Analysis Dublin (QTA-DUB) Workshop. University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.

    "Modeling the Formateur’s Advantage in Presidential Democracies." August, 2018. With Alejandro Medina. Paper presented at the 114th American Political Science Association (APSA) Annual Meeting, Boston, MA, USA.

    "Strategies for Studying Voters’ Perceptions of Party Brands." June, 2018. With David Fortunato and Laron K. Williams. Paper presented at the 8th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association (EPSA), Vienna, Austria.
    ↳[Paper also presented at the 76th Annual Conference of the MPSA, Chicago, IL, USA (April, 2018), and at the Annual Meeting of the SPSA, New Orleans, LA, USA (January, 2018).]

    "Cabinet Composition and Attribution of Responsibility in Presidential Multiparty Systems." May, 2018. With Agustina Haime. Paper presented at the XXXVI International Congress of the Latin American Studies Association (LASA). Barcelona, Spain.

    "Settling for Less: Why do Parties Participate in Disproportional Presidential Cabinets?" April, 2018. Paper presented at the 76th Annual Conference of the MPSA, Chicago, IL, USA.

    "Cabinet Rules and Power Sharing in Presidential and Parliamentary Democracies." September, 2017. With Victor Araújo and Marcelo Vieira. Paper presented at the 2017 European Consortium for Political Research (ECPR) General Conference, Oslo, Norway.

    "Policing Policies: When Do Presidential Cabinet Members Monitor Each Other?" Aptil, 2017. With Victor Araújo and Marcelo Vieira. Paper presented at the 75th Annual Conference of the MPSA, Chicago, IL, USA.

    "Women and Corruption: Do Female Bureaucrats Combat Citizens’ Perceptions of Government Malfeasance?" April, 2017. With Maria Escobar-Lemmon and Nathalie Mendez. Paper presented at the 75th Annual Conference of the MPSA, Chicago, IL, USA.

    "How Long Will It Last? Cabinet Termination in Presidential Systems." August, 2016. Paper presented at the 112th APSA Annual Meeting, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

    "Fiscal Capacity, Income Distribution, and Taxation in Brazilian Municipalities." August, 2016. With Florian Hollenbach. Paper presented at the 112th APSA Annual Meeting, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

    "Enduring Democracies but Unsatisfied Citizens? Public Opinion’s Lack of Confidence in Democratic Institutions." August, 2016. Paper presented at the 112th APSA Annual Meeting, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

    "Who Gets What? Formateur Advantage and Salience in Portfolio Allocation in Presidential Multiparty Systems." August, 2016. Paper presented at the 112th APSA Annual Meeting, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
    ↳[An earlier version of this paper was presented at the XXXIV LASA International Congress, New York City, NY, USA. May, 2016.]

    "Cabinet Rules and Power Sharing from a Comparative Perspective: Presidential and Parliamentary Democracies Reconsidered." April, 2016. With Victor Araújo and Marcelo Vieira. Paper presented at the 74th MPSA Annual Conference, Chicago, IL, USA.

    "The Leading Ladies: How the Election of Women Executives Impacts Gender Diversity and Gender Equality in Subnational Bureaucracies." April, 2016. With Kendall Funk and Maria Escobar-Lemmon. Paper presented at the 74th MPSA Annual Conference, Chicago, IL, USA.

Special Conferences and Invited Presentations

    "Public Opinion and the Politics of Fiscal Federalism in Australia." With Tracy Fenwick. Seminar Series of POLIS: The Centre for Social Policy Research at the Australian National University (ANU), Canberra, Australia. August, 2024.

    "DFAT Course - Latin America." Australian Centre for Federalism (ACF) at the Australian National University (ANU) and the Australian Government's Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT). Canberra, Australia. March, 2024.

    "The Fragility of Presidentialism: A Reconsideration." SPIR Seminar Series. With Alejandro Medina and William Clark. The Australian National University. Canberra, Australia. May, 2023.

    "Brazil Update 2022: A Conversation with Experts on the Brazilian Elections and Democracy." Australian Centre for Federalism and Australian National Centre for Latin American Studies. The Australian National University. Canberra, Australia. Virtual event. November, 2022.

    "Studies on Coalition Governments: The State of the Art." Seminar at the Institute of Social Sciences (ICS), University of Lisbon (ULisboa). ULisboa, Lisbon, Portugal. June, 2022.

    "Cooperation and Competition: The Learning Process of Governing under Coalitions." Political Science Seminar Series of the University of Barcelona (UB). UB, Barcelona, Spain. October, 2021.

    "On German Elections." "Puxando assunto" series of the Department of Political Science at the University of São Paulo (USP). Virtual event. October, 2021.

    "The Redefining of Politics" Symposium. With Andrea Junqueira and Guy Whitten. Ipsos Public Affairs and the European Union Center (EUC). Virtual event. June, 2021.

    "Public Policy, Opinions, Behavior, and Health Outcomes during the COVID Pandemic." Discussant. Department of Political Science at Texas A&M University. Virtual event. November, 2020.

    X Political Science Graduate Students Seminar at the University of São Paulo (USP). Discussant. USP, São Paulo, Brazil. November, 2020.

    "Workshop on Coalition Politics." Department of Political Science and the EUC, Texas A&M University. TAMU, College Station, TX, USA. Fall, 2020. [Postponed due to COVID-19 pandemic.]

    "Texas Comparative Politics Circle." With David Fortunato and Laron Williams. Department of Political Science, Texas A&M University. TAMU, College Station, TX, USA. February, 2019.

    "Coalitions and Clarity of Responsibility Workshop." International Political Science Association (IPSA) Summer School on Methods and Concepts in Political Science and International Relations at the University of São Paulo. USP, São Paulo, Brazil. January, 2018.

    "Politics and Resistance in Contemporary Latin America Roundtable." Moderator with Nathalie Mendez. Texas A&M English Department Series. TAMU, College Station, TX, USA. April, 2018.

    "Thirty Years of Democracy in Brazil: A Research Workshop." Kellogg Institute for International Studies, University of Notre Dame (ND). ND, South Bend, IN, USA. April, 2015.

Press

    Interview on "Elections in a Comparative Perspective." July, 2024. Special Broadcasting Service (SBS) Portuguese. Also available on Spotify.

    Podcast interview on “Coalition Governments and Bolsonaro's Government." July, 2022. Interviewer: João Gabriel de Lima for the Brazilian newspaper "O Estado de S. Paulo."

    "How opposition parties can challenge government dominance in parliamentary democracies." March, 2022. With Thomas König and Nick Lin. ECPR The Loop.

    "Coalition Dynamics in Parliamentary and Presidential Democracies." June, 2019. Executives, Presidents and Cabinet Politics (PEX).

    "New Perspectives on Executive Decision-Making Processes in Presidential Systems." October, 2016. With Victor Araújo and Marcelo Vieira. 2016. Presidential Power: Presidents and Presidential Politics around the World.

    "Bolivian elections get the Hollywood treatment, and now we’re discussing term limits." December, 2015. With Diego von Vacano. The Washington Post, Monkey Cage.

    "Brazil's Protest Paradox." June, 2014. With Diego von Vacano. The Washington Post, Monkey Cage.


2025. Thiago Nascimento da Silva.
E-mail: Thiago.Silva@anu.edu.au